There are now 3 heavy favorites to win the Super Bowl
Joe Robbins/Getty Images
Using Nate Silver's "2015 NFL Predictions," a model that rates each team and then projects how the regular season and playoffs will play out, we can get a better sense of which teams are the true Super Bowl contenders.
Heading into Week 5, the New England Patriots are still the favorite with a 19% chance to win the Super Bowl. However, the Green Bay Packers (17%) and Denver Broncos (14%) have narrowed the gap. The Patriots and Packers are also already nearly a lock for the postseason as both have a 94% chance to make the playoffs.
In all, there are now seven teams with at least a 5% chance of winning the Super Bowl after four weeks:
- New England Patriots, 19%
- Green Bay Packers, 17%
- Denver Broncos, 14%
- Seattle Seahawks, 7%
- Cincinnati Bengals, 7%
- Carolina Panthers, 6%
- Atlanta Falcons, 5%
The Arizona Cardinals (4%), Pittsburgh Steelers (3%), and Dallas Cowboys (3%) just missed the cut and were the only other teams given more than a 2% chance of winning it all.
At the other end of the spectrum, there are now three teams without a legit shot to make the playoffs. The Chicago Bears (4%), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3%), and Cleveland Browns (2%) all have less than a 5% chance to make the playoffs. The Miami Dolphins (5%) are not far behind.
Here are the 8 teams with the best chance to win each division:
- AFC East - New England Patriots, 80% chance to win their division
- AFC North - Cincinnati Bengals, 67%
- AFC South - Indianapolis Colts, 53%
- AFC West - Denver Broncos, 80%
- NFC East - Dallas Cowboys, 39%
- NFC North - Green Bay Packers, 88%
- NFC South - Atlanta Falcons, 56%
- NFC West - Seattle Seahawks, 49%
You can see the full projections at Five Thirty Eight.
- A couple accidentally shipped their cat in an Amazon return package. It arrived safely 6 days later, hundreds of miles away.
- A centenarian who starts her day with gentle exercise and loves walks shares 5 longevity tips, including staying single
- 2 states where home prices are falling because there are too many houses and not enough buyers
- "To sit and talk in the box...!" Kohli's message to critics as RCB wrecks GT in IPL Match 45
- 7 Nutritious and flavourful tiffin ideas to pack for school
- India's e-commerce market set to skyrocket as the country's digital economy surges to USD 1 Trillion by 2030
- Top 5 places to visit near Rishikesh
- Indian economy remains in bright spot: Ministry of Finance
- JNK India IPO allotment date
- JioCinema New Plans
- Realme Narzo 70 Launched
- Apple Let Loose event
- Elon Musk Apology
- RIL cash flows
- Charlie Munger
- Feedbank IPO allotment
- Tata IPO allotment
- Most generous retirement plans
- Broadcom lays off
- Cibil Score vs Cibil Report
- Birla and Bajaj in top Richest
- Nestle Sept 2023 report
- India Equity Market