BREXIT POLL: Remain is benefiting from one big change over the last week
Handout / Getty
The company says the last-minute surge is largely due to one reason: a "change in the makeup of the likely electorate."
People who previously had not been closely following the referendum on Britain's EU membership are now weighing in.
Fifty percent of the 4,000 SurveyMonkey poll respondents opted for Remain compared to 47% for Leave.
That is a big swing.
Leave had a 1-point lead over Remain in the same survey, which was published just 24 hours ago. A Survation poll, also published on Tuesday, showed Remain and Leave in a dead heat.
"The referendum is now pulling in voters who had previously managed to tune out the fierce rhetoric of the campaign. Remain is benefiting from a broader swath of voters now primed to vote," Jon Cohen, chief research officer at SurveyMonkey, said in a statement on Wednesday.
SurveyMonkey was one of the only groups to successfully predict the outcome of the 2015 general election.
On Tuesday, a poll for The Telegraph showed Remain had a 7-point lead over the rival Leave camp. The poll also showed that the proportion of Remain supporters saying they will definitely vote jumped to 69% from 54% two weeks ago, while that figure for the Leave camp fell to 64% from 69%.
This means Remain supporters are more motivated to vote than Leave campaigners.
Remain has also picked up momentum since Jo Cox, a member of parliament for the opposition Labour Party, was shot and stabbed to death by a man who gave his name as "death to traitors, freedom for Britain" when he appeared in court on Saturday.
Boris Johnson, a leader of the Leave movement, was accused by London mayor Sadiq Khan of "scaremongering" about immigration in Tuesday's night's televised debate of the EU referendum.
Business Insider reporter Ben Moshinsky notes that referendums often see a late swing toward keeping the status quo because change is seen as a risk. According to the Telegraph poll, 27% thought Remain was a risk compared with 56% for Leave.
Business Insider
- A centenarian who starts her day with gentle exercise and loves walks shares 5 longevity tips, including staying single
- A couple accidentally shipped their cat in an Amazon return package. It arrived safely 6 days later, hundreds of miles away.
- FSSAI in process of collecting pan-India samples of Nestle's Cerelac baby cereals: CEO
- India's e-commerce market set to skyrocket as the country's digital economy surges to USD 1 Trillion by 2030
- Top 5 places to visit near Rishikesh
- Indian economy remains in bright spot: Ministry of Finance
- A surprise visit: Tesla CEO Elon Musk heads to China after deferring India visit
- Unemployment among Indian youth is high, but it is transient: RBI MPC member
- JNK India IPO allotment date
- JioCinema New Plans
- Realme Narzo 70 Launched
- Apple Let Loose event
- Elon Musk Apology
- RIL cash flows
- Charlie Munger
- Feedbank IPO allotment
- Tata IPO allotment
- Most generous retirement plans
- Broadcom lays off
- Cibil Score vs Cibil Report
- Birla and Bajaj in top Richest
- Nestle Sept 2023 report
- India Equity Market