Rapid testing 75% of a city every 3 days could 'drive the epidemic toward extinction' within 6 weeks, a new study claims
- Mass and frequent rapid testing for
COVID-19could make a large dent in the pandemic within six weeks, a new studyclaims.
- "Our big picture finding is that, when it comes to
public health, it's better to have a less sensitive test with results today than a more sensitive test with results tomorrow," said Daniel Larremore, a computer scienceprofessor at Colorado University Boulder and lead author of the study.
- Testing 75% of a city's population every three days would reduce infections by 88%, "sufficient to drive the epidemic toward extinction within six weeks."
Mass rapid-testing for COVID-19 — especially of those people showing no signs of infection — could bring an end to the pandemic within six weeks, claims a new study by researchers at the Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health and the University of Colorado Boulder.Published November 20 in the peer-reviewed journal Science Advances, the study suggests that rapid tests, although less reliable, could allow public health authorities to rely on more targeted interventions, rather than economy-wide lockdowns, if deployed on a massive scale.
According to the study, based on mathematical modeling, rapid-testing three-quarters of a city's population every three days slashed the number of those ultimately infected by 88%, "sufficient to drive the epidemic toward extinction within six weeks.""These rapid tests are contagiousness tests," Michael Mina, a professor of epidemiology at Harvard and coauthor of the study, said in a news release. "They are extremely effective in detecting COVID-19 when people are contagious."
Increasing the availability of "cheap, rapid tests" is one of the key strategies under consideration by President-elect Joe Biden, Politico reported Friday.Have a news tip? Email this reporter: email@example.com
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